| Phenomenon | L (mo) | Regime | Status | Three-factor family | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Infrastructure & Regulation · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): ~110 mo (n=6 comparable) · dominant regime: Policy-Trigger Slow multi-year ramp, breakout on a regulatory trigger. A new financial-infrastructure phenomenon will likely follow the same shape: long latency, then activation on a norm. | |||||
| Stablecoins | 128 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Convergence (trigger) | GT+Wiki ignite together Jun-Jul 2025 (GENIUS Act). Model case. |
| Cryptocurrency | 96 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Wiki peak 2021 market cycle; mature on both. |
| Bitcoin | 146 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Real consolidation Dec 2020; Wiki ~7,265/day. |
| CBDC | 61 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Wiki ~486/day, declining from 2023. |
| Open Banking | 75 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | B2B, Wiki ~650/day, slow growth. |
| Buy Now Pay Later | 157 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity / consumer | Wiki ~300/day, rising. |
| RWA Tokenization | 103 | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Weak third factor | No clean Wikipedia article; declared. GT breakout Aug 2025. |
| Tokenized Deposits | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Provisional, within cluster window. | ||
| Basel III | ~0 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Attention immediate at Sep 2010 announcement. |
| MiCA | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Cluster (unconfirmed) | Wiki ~120/day flat; cluster not confirmed informationally. | |
| Security / Tech / Cyber / Quantum · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): ~138 mo (n=4 comparable) · dominant regime: Policy-Trigger Long institutional latency, technical-confined attention, breakout often policy- or incident-driven. Dual-velocity is the norm here. | |||||
| Cybersecurity | 145 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate / B2B | Broad but mature, Wiki ~1,800/day stable. |
| Zero Day Vulnerability | 231 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Wiki base ~15/day; technical, near-invisible to public. |
| Endpoint Security | 144 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Pure B2B, Wiki ~90/day. |
| Post-Quantum Cryptography | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate (rising) | Under revision; GT breakout Aug 2025; Wiki rising ~900-2,330/day. | |
| Quantum Computing | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Fully legible | Wiki ~3,553/day high; GT to re-verify on CSV. | |
| Cloud Computing | 31 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible (Wiki anomaly) | L=36 from historic 2009 run. Oct-2025 Wiki spike (AWS outage) excluded. |
| Edge Computing | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Noise (divergent) | GT surge Aug 2025 NOT matched by Wiki (flat/declining). | |
| Digital Identity | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity | Wiki ~169/day, B2B. | |
| AI Watermarking | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity | t_start Oct 2023 (Biden EO 14110). Wiki ~144/day technical. | |
| eIDAS | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Cluster (unconfirmed) | Wiki ~140/day flat. | |
| Energy · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): Green Hydrogen 204 mo (n=1 comparable) · dominant regime: Policy-Trigger Single comparable structural case (declared) - average not yet meaningful. Pattern: very long latency, policy-driven. To consolidate as more cases verify. | |||||
| Green Hydrogen | 204 | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | GT active 80/100, Wiki ~242/day = industry, not public. |
| Nuclear Fusion | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~1,062/day, peak Dec 2022. Longest historical lag candidate. | |
| Small Modular Reactor | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~900-1,280/day rising; phantom L removed. | |
| Carbon Capture | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate (+ event spike) | Wiki ~440/day; Jun-2025 event spike (12,486) flagged, excluded. | |
| Solar Energy | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Wiki ~748/day; mature. | |
| Wind Energy | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Wiki ~599/day; mature. | |
| Heat Pump | Policy-Trigger | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Wiki ~840/day. | |
| Battery Storage | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Cluster (unconfirmed) | Wiki declining; cluster not confirmed. | |
| Carbon Tax | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity | Wiki ~151/day, declining. | |
| EV Charging | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | GT to re-verify; provisional. | |
| Biotech / Medical · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): ~140 mo (n=5 comparable) · dominant regime: Institutional Mass Years of invisibility then institutional adoption. Specialist attention precedes public. A new biotech phenomenon will likely show a long, institution-led curve. | |||||
| GLP-1 | 85 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Ozempic wave, Wiki ~1,300/day, real public interest. |
| CRISPR | 99 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | With anchor. 2026 GT re-peak NOT confirmed by Wiki = cluster noise. |
| Precision Medicine | 165 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Specialist, Wiki ~180/day. |
| Liquid Biopsy | 175 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Pure specialist, Wiki ~40/day. |
| Autonomous Vehicle | 176 | Institutional Mass | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Mature, Wiki ~1,000/day, declining from 2023. |
| AI Explainability | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | t_start Aug 2016 (DARPA). Wiki ~1,290/day, rising. | |
| mRNA Cancer Vaccines | PRE / NON-STAT | Set aside | Term to re-pull exactly; NON-STAT (COVID shock). | ||
| Gene Therapy | Institutional Mass | PRE | Pre-dataset | t_peak = GT data start 2004; L not meaningful. | |
| Stem Cell | Institutional Mass | PRE | Pre-dataset | Pre-dataset. | |
| Telemedicine | PRE / NON-STAT | Pre-dataset | NON-STAT (COVID). | ||
| Policy / Regulatory · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): see cases (mostly observation) · dominant regime: Policy-Trigger Recent/cluster-heavy: most cases still OBSERVATION. Area read provisional pending May-consolidated data. | |||||
| GDPR | Shock/Spoke | BUBBLE | Threshold crossed, no 12-month window. NON-STAT. | ||
| EU AI Act | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~639/day, peak May 2024. | |
| AI Red Teaming | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate (proxy) | t_start Oct 2023 (Biden EO). Wiki proxy 'Red team' ~329/day. | |
| AI Incident Reporting | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity (proxy) | t_start Nov 2020 (AIID). Proxy 'AI safety' ~451/day. | |
| AI Procurement Policy | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity | t_start Oct 2023 (Biden EO). Wiki ~142/day. | |
| ESG | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Wiki ~735/day. | |
| CISA | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~450/day, peak Apr 2025. | |
| Algorithmic Auditing | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate (proxy) | Above threshold since 2009 but never 12 consecutive months in 16 yrs. | |
| Responsible AI | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Intermediate (proxy) | t_start Oct 2018. Proxy 'Ethics of AI' ~940/day. Broad proxy declared. | |
| Model Cards AI | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity (proxy) | t_start Oct 2018 (Mitchell et al.). Concept-page minuscule; broad proxy. | |
| Consumer / Social · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): ~48 mo (n=4 comparable) · dominant regime: Market-Narrative Fast consolidation, market- and narrative-driven. Consumer phenomena become legible far quicker than infrastructure. Shortest lags in the dataset. | |||||
| iPhone | 29 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Run 205 months; annual launches. |
| 59 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Historic mainstream, now declining. | |
| TikTok | 31 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Mature on both. L=31 verified (t_peak Apr 2020). |
| Virtual Reality | 71 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Fully legible | Consolidated 2015-16, now receding. |
| Metaverse | Shock/Spoke | BUBBLE | Confirmed bubble. | ||
| NFT | Shock/Spoke | BUBBLE | Confirmed bubble. | ||
| Digital Nomad | 325 | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Extended structural lag (t_start 1997, Makimoto, Level B). L=325 verified on CSV. Concept origin far precedes infrastructure enablement. |
| Creator Economy | Market-Narrative | OBSERVATION | Anomaly (Reddit>Wiki) | Reddit strong, Wiki weak ~159/day. Declared anomaly. | |
| Streaming | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Intermediate | Wiki ~1,275/day. | |
| Influencer | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Wiki ~289/day, declining from 2023 peak. | |
| AI Governance · 10 cases | |||||
|
Area read · indicative L (area): see cases (mostly observation) · dominant regime: Policy-Trigger Most dual-velocity domain of all (operational high, informational low). Largely OBSERVATION; area read qualitative, L provisional. | |||||
| Generative AI | Market-Narrative | OBSERVATION | Fully legible (Wiki corrects GT) | Wiki high & constant since 2023 (~3-5k/day); GT normalization artifact. | |
| Deep Learning | Institutional Mass | OBSERVATION | Fully legible (Wiki corrects GT) | Wiki ~2-2.5k/day steady since 2023; GT inflated by renormalization. | |
| AI Governance | Policy-Trigger | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity | Domain is the most dual-velocity of all. | |
| ICO Boom | Shock/Spoke | BUBBLE | Confirmed bubble. | ||
| Memecoin | Shock/Spoke | BUBBLE | Confirmed bubble. | ||
| Web3 | Market-Narrative | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~956/day, peak Dec 2021, declining. | |
| Gig Economy | Market-Narrative | STRUCTURAL | Dual-velocity | Wiki ~272/day. | |
| Subscription Economy | Market-Narrative | OBSERVATION | Intermediate | Wiki ~406/day. | |
| Super App | 185 | Market-Narrative | OBSERVATION | Dual-velocity (weak) | Wiki ~118/day, declining. Fragile case. |
| Remote Work | PRE / NON-STAT | Pre-dataset | NON-STAT (COVID shock). | ||